GHG Europe

WP6 Scenario Analysis

The overall objective of WP6 is to draw guidelines and recommendations on land-use practices to be promoted by EU policies.

WP6 aims to assess the risk of positive feedback in the climate-carbon system by scenarios with typical and extreme variations in drivers, projections with realistic drivers and by modelling feedbacks with global bioenergy and timber markets and climate policies in the post-2012 climate regime.


Models - with their quantified uncertainties in ecosystem response - will be used for estimating the future vulnerability of ecosystem carbon (C) stocks and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to changing drivers in the next decades.


We will run scenarios

  1. consistent with the socio-economic scenarios for IPCC AR5 to assess likely decadal trends in C and GHG budgets,
  2. with extreme factor combinations to assess risks for C sources and higher GHG emissions, and
  3. with dynamic change in land use and management with feedback to European policies and global bioenergy and timber markets.


Workpackage Lead: Dr. Michael Obersteiner (IIASA)

EU contract No. 244122


Project finished in September 2013  [more]

Imer D, Merbold L, Eugster W, Buchmann N (2013)  [more]

Luyssaert, S., G. Abril, et al. (2012)  [more]

Merbold L, Steinlin C, Hagedorn F (2013)   [more]

Mohn J, Steinlin C, Merbold L, Emmenegger L, Hagedorn F (2013)   [more]

Nabuurs G-J, Lindner M, Verkerk PJ, Gunia K, Deda P, Michalak R, Grassi G (2013)  [more]

Scott RL, Serrano-Ortiz P, Domingo F, Hamerlynck EP, Kowalski AS (2012)  [more]

Wolf S, Eugster W, Ammann C, Haeni M, Zielis S, Hiller R, Stieger J, Imer D, Merbold L, Buchmann N (2013)   [more]


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GHG-Europe at a glance

Fundingsource: EU (FP7)
EC-contribution: 6.6 Mio.€
Duration: 2010-2013
Consortium: 41 partners, 15 countries
Coordinator: A. Freibauer (TI)